Weak shock waves triggered by micro-cracks in the adhesive layer of tape cause it to screech when being unspooled from its roll.
We provided a mathematical analysis of how a rational agent would respond to data generated by a sycophantic AI that samples examples from the distribution implied by the user’s hypothesis (p(d|h∗)p(d|h^{*})) rather than the true distribution of the world (p(d|true process)p(d|\text{true process})). This analysis showed that such an agent would be likely to become increasingly confident in an incorrect hypothesis. We tested this prediction through people’s interactions with LLM chatbots and found that default, unmodified chatbots (our Default GPT condition) behave indistinguishably from chatbots explicitly prompted to provide confirmatory evidence (our Rule Confirming condition). Both suppressed rule discovery and inflated confidence. These results support our model, and the fact that default models matched an explicitly confirmatory strategy suggests that this probabilistic framework offers a useful model for understanding their behavior.
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«Наши везли в Тегеран зерно, крупу и муку. Обратно — овощи и фрукты. Со слов водителей, если их не выпустят в ближайшее время, продукты испортятся. А это сотни миллионов убытка. Плюсом — в СКФО может начаться дефицит помидоров, лимонов, грейпфрутов, винограда, перцев, черешни», — пишут авторы.
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